Thread: R64 predictions
View Single Post
Unread 21 Nov 2015, 14:24   #115
[B5]Londo
Paso Leaute
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 919
[B5]Londo has much to be proud of[B5]Londo has much to be proud of[B5]Londo has much to be proud of[B5]Londo has much to be proud of[B5]Londo has much to be proud of[B5]Londo has much to be proud of[B5]Londo has much to be proud of[B5]Londo has much to be proud of[B5]Londo has much to be proud of
Re: R64 predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by BloodyButcher View Post
Sounds like your underestimation of Ults strength has come to bite you in the ass. The bigger the ego, the harder the fall.
This was not the problem: quite the opposite. P3ns correct appraisal of Ults strength lead directly to the pickle we are in now.
As usual we come to the denouement of the round and you remember the last 200 ticks but not the first half so let us recap.

P3n assessing the threat of Ult running away with it as appeared likely at the end of October first attacked Ult in midweek the first week of November. This had support from CT (gal raiding ult gals) as well as Terra and ND. However, the other stronger alliances held back.

At the end of that week it was quite clear that this coalition was insufficient and not making any progress. We were unable to find more partners to make it a success as a result CT decided not to continue gal raiding ult gals so this ended that campaign (CT may dispute this characterization).
Knowing that P3n would lose alone we accepted a NAP with ult.

Thus it was our assessment of Ults strength, rather than an underestimation, that led P3n both to attack ult and then to make peace.
Arguably both the attack and the peace were premature. Had Ult been left to build up a greater lead before p3n attacked then finding allies for a proper gangbang would have been easier. The peace also proved premature as Asgard and Black flag realised the next week that they had to fight... they were more successful than p3n but with p3n not able to act due to the nap they too ultimately failed. P3n knowing that leaving BF to die would doom us chose to attack FL in an attempt to take the pressure off BF, but this was too little too late and provided Ult with casus belli to attack p3n.
So then we come to P3n being destroyed by ult and where we are now.
__________________
An optimist may see a light where there is none, but why must the pessimist always run to blow it out?
[B5]Londo is offline   Reply With Quote