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Unread 16 Jun 2007, 17:16   #1
KoeN
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Tour de France 2007: a preview

Because I am aware of the fact how many on this forums love sports, but are rather unknown with the Tour de France, I thought it’d be a nice idea to give a short preview on things, also because it’s now starting in the UK and most likely will get some coverage now. In the rest of Europe, the Tour counts as one of the most important sports-events of the year. For me personally, it’s the ultimate highlight, something I can look forward to for 12 months. So here’s my view on things for this year, I hope it’s useful for the cyclinglovers (I know we do have 3 or so here) and those who are willing to learn to appreciate new things.


Background
The 94th edition of Le Tour will have the difficult but important task to overcome the bad taste last year’s edition left behind. In 2006 many drivers couldn’t start because of doping-rumours, and after winner Floyd Landis got disqualified, it’s still unknown who’ll be the official winner.

With the upcoming Tour, attention from side news is slowly moving again in the direction that’s most important. Heavens forbid a lot of dirt is still about to come to the surface. People will cheat again, new rumours will pop up. But let’s hope no one gets caught this time, so that this great event will get the chance to restore the sports beauty again, with her big yellow aura of tragic, greatness and heroism.

When you ask a random person to name two European capitals, there’s a big chance London and Paris will be named. This year, London shall function as ‘Le Grand Départ’, whereas Paris will be the traditional finish of this 3 weeks long event.

With Buckingham Palace, The Big Ben and Tower Bridge forming the background of the prologue (a short time trial), things won’t start very French this year. Even more so when keeping in mind that the Brits this year have a big chance to honour a native born Belgian- or Maltese countryman as big victor, the owner of the first yellow jersey. How special would it be if they could cheer for an ‘Officer of the British Empire’, when he’ll climb the podium to receive the yellow. The man I’m talking about here is Bradley Wiggins, keep an eye on him.

This year we’re talking about an event made of 20 stages and a prologue that will cover a total distance of 3.550 km. 11 of these stages will be flat, 6 will be classed as ‘mountain-stage’, 1 will contain some hills and 2 are individual timetrials.


Yellow
This year, many drivers will see another big chance to see their biggest dream come true: riding up the Champs-Elysees in the yellow jersey. Without big shots Lance Armstrong, Jan Ullrich and Ivan Basso, this year promises to be about as open as it was last year.
But we need to add here, that in 2006 Kazakh Alexander Vinokourov wasn’t allowed to start, because of the suspicions there were on 5 of his teammates. A cycling team consists out of 9 persons, and to start one needs atleast 5 drivers.
This year he will be there though. And despite the leaving of superhelpers Paulinho and Contador –who left to Discovery Channel, Armstrong’s team-, the team didn’t become any weaker. With countryman Kashechkin and German-born Klöden (2nd in 2004, 3rd in 2006). The ‘KKV’ train that team Astana possesses, all have a chance on the big victory, although the main card that shall be played will be leader Vinokourov.

Others who have a chance? Where shall I start… Firstly we have Alejandro Valverdo, Spanish multi-talent and hope of the nation. If he starts, he’s definitely a guy who could win it, as he masters all aspects of cycling. He has a good timetrial, is one of the best climbers of all, and can even sprint. Not that we will see him in sprints, though.
Pereiro won’t reach top 20 in my eyes. People easily forget that he ‘won’ last year’s edition mainly because of one monsterjump, where he won 30 minutes on everyone, in one single race. But keep in mind that this was allowed by the big guys of that moment, who didn’t see a threat in him for the final rankings. They guessed wrong. This year, they won’t make the same mistake. The last guy from this team who’s worth mentioning is Vladimir Karpets, former winner of the white jersey (price for ‘best rookie’) and also a multi-talent, like Valverde is.

Other top 5 potentials are in my eyes Carlos Sastre (CSC), Denis Menchov (Rabobank), Cadel Evans (Davitamon-Lotto) and Levi Leipheimer (Discovery Channel). The last guy will have some excellent helpers in Contador, Paulinho, Goesev, Hincapie, Devolder and Brajkovic, to help him reach the podium.


Green
The ‘points’ rankings. For those of you who aren’t familiar with big cycling tours: every stage, drivers can gain a certain amount in sprints during the race, and at the finish. So this jersey naturally goes to sprinters. This year I’m giving the best chances to Robbie McEwen, Thor Hushovd, Oscar Freire and Tom Boonen. Petacchi is just as good, but he’ll get trouble getting over the mountains. I don’t expect him to reach Paris. Behind these guys, there’s a field of 15-20 guys (Benatti, Paolini, Eisel, J.P. Nazon, Ventoso, Förster, Haussler etc.) who can just as easily win a stage, but aren’t constant enough to have a chance on green.


Bolls
The jersey for the best climber. It often goes to people who could go for yellow if they were better at time trials, but now have to focus on this. To win it, you need to reach the top of mountains in the first group, on a frequent basis. Ideally, they’re far behind on the leaders for the yellow jersey. In this case, they won’t get chased fanatically by top teams when they try to make a ‘jump’ out of the main group. The best chance I’m giving to Rabobank-driver Michael Rasmussen (aka ‘The Chicken’). This guy, who has a history in mountainbiking, has trained a whole year for to reach this aim, not doing any other races at all. Other people who can win it are French hope Christophe Moreau, Mercado or Cardenas.


White
The best youngster in the final rankings. Contador (31st in 2005), Dekker (Dutch supertalent), Brajkovic, Kohl, Gerdemann and Lövqvist will have most chance to win it in my eyes.


Teams
I’m putting my money on Astana to dominate this year pretty much. Behind this team, CSC, Discovery Channel and Rabobank will fight for a top-3 position.


Final word
Spectacular moments we’ll get at the following mountains:
Stage 7: Col de la Colombière;
Stage 8: Corme de Roselend, Montée d’Hauteville, Montée de Tignes;
Stage 9: Col de L’Iséran, Col du Télégraphe, Col du Galibier (!);
Stage 14: Port de Pailhères, Plateau-de-Beille;
Stage 15: Col de Menté, Port de Balès, Col de Peyresourde;
Stage 16: Port de Larrau, Col de la Pierre St-Martin, Col de Marie-Blanque, Col d’Aubisque.


Especially the last climbing-day promises a lot fun, with the notorious Marie-Blanque (extremely steep at some points, a legs-killer) and the gigantic Aubisque. Even this all looks quite impressive, you can easily see how new Tourdirector Christian Prudhomme has tried to make it a more ‘humane’ Tour de France. In other words, less need to use doping (even though drivers decide how ‘hard’ a stage gets).
If he’d be a sadist, he’d had also thrown in Alpe d’Huez, or ‘bald mountain’ Mont Ventoux. This Tour seems to be doable though, which is good news for the time trial specialists, as this puts more weight to that.
It promises to become a crazy, open race; much chance to attack, relatively few climbing miles and many potential winners, so hard to control by one single team. This makes it hard to predict who will be the winner when we reach the finish in Paris.
Let us hope for a great race, also because this year will be very important for cycling in general, with a Tour who’s playing the role of Atlas, carrying the entire world of cycling on his shoulders.

Last edited by KoeN; 16 Jun 2007 at 17:22.
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Unread 16 Jun 2007, 18:19   #2
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

I tihnk it is a bit sad that Alpe d`Huez isnt in as its one of the more 'classic' stages and its always so chaotic on the top. I will as usual follow the tour as much as i can, and cheer on Thor Hushovd and Kurt Asle Arvesen who are Norways hopes and both of them are capable of winning a stage or more.

Im just as you interested to see where vinokourov will place, he wasnt in last year but if he is anything like he was 2-3 years ago he should have a good chance of winning.
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Unread 16 Jun 2007, 18:20   #3
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Oh, when does it start btw?
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Unread 16 Jun 2007, 18:23   #4
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

the start is saturday, july 7. it finishes sunday, july 29. i'll visit the finish of the 2nd stage in Gent myself, just as the start of the stage in Waregem. cycling = carnaval in Belgium, it's more popular than football even there, so i'm looking forward to it.
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Unread 16 Jun 2007, 18:55   #5
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Quote:
Originally Posted by isildurx
I tihnk it is a bit sad that Alpe d`Huez isnt in as its one of the more 'classic' stages and its always so chaotic on the top.
So true. As much as I'm not really into cycling, the finish of an Alpe d'Huez stage of the tour is one of the great occasions in world sport.
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Unread 16 Jun 2007, 19:04   #6
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

But how can the Tour De France be taken seriously as a competitive event when it's won by the rider with the best doping system? Institutionalised cheating is not cool and detracts from the sport as a competitive spectacle.

That said I still went to see the Tour when it held a stage in my hometown of Cork a few years ago. It was cool, if only because they had to resurface all the roads prior to the event.
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Unread 16 Jun 2007, 21:36   #7
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Astana did nice things in the Dauphiné ....
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Unread 17 Jun 2007, 08:58   #8
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

you really have to go with vinokourov this year i think, apart from anything else he really does have a lot to prove after was has to have been a devastating retirement for his team last year.
Never discount discovery channel though, as a team they always seem to do well, although you cant really see Leipheimer being a good enough replacement for lance at the front.

personally, i still think that landis is innocent, as of all the thing to take, you would have to be retarded to take synthetic testosterone, as its silly easy to detect, and after THAT stage he was always going to be tested. For me, there are some glaring errors in the testing, not least his A and B samples being tested in the same lab by the same people with the same equipment. Although annoyingly the BBC news website has stopped posting updates on his appeal :/
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Unread 18 Jun 2007, 17:28   #9
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

didnt even read the first post, loaded the thread specifically to call koen a faggot
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Unread 18 Jun 2007, 17:58   #10
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

you are an angry angry man atm deffeh


you definately coming to london though?
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Unread 18 Jun 2007, 18:00   #11
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Out of pure curiosity from me, the coach potato:
Why is bicycling so interesting?
Its kinda like watching formula 1, fun the first 5 minutes, but then looses it appeal.

Most people are drugged, and the highlight of any tour is when someone puts their hand down their pants and fling poo.
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Unread 18 Jun 2007, 20:18   #12
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Quote:
Originally Posted by Deffeh
didnt even read the first post, loaded the thread specifically to call koen a faggot
why have you been away from irc you butt
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Unread 18 Jun 2007, 21:07   #13
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Quote:
Originally Posted by Achilles
Institutionalised cheating is not cool and detracts from the sport as a competitive spectacle.
Why?

I mean, if it was one team doing it and they won all the time then sure, it's against the competetive spirit. But as I presume every ****er is doing it, does it matter as much? Sure, it's a barrier to entry but I presume it's pretty much impossible for a plucky amateur who rides an hour a day and has a £50 mountain bike to win anyway.

To win (or do very well) in any well established sport you either have to be a freak, or you have to dedicate stupid amounts of your life to practicing. Is there a world champion in any sport (or competetive game, if you want to include Chess, Starcraft, etc) who doesn't practice at least five hours a day? If you're giving over that much of your life then why not inject yourself with god knows what.

Of course, it'd be better if you were allowed to take whatever but it had to be disclosed. You'd then get real progress in the field of athletic enhacement and at least there might be some wider social benefits.
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Unread 18 Jun 2007, 21:37   #14
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

I would have no objection if performance enhancers were disclosed fully. By making public their ongoing medical record after an appropriate time delay perhaps. At least then it would be an honest competition to see which team can create the most superhuman rider without killing him. As it is though it's neither that nor a cycling competition. The real and decisive action takes place behind closed doors and turned backs.
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Unread 18 Jun 2007, 22:36   #15
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Quote:
Originally Posted by Allfather
Why is bicycling so interesting?
the main reason i'm a full year looking forward to spending 3 weeks of my holidays in front of a TV, is that it's one big rolling feast in an otherwise uneventful month.
cycling is about action, joy, drama, heroism, pain, politics; it's for a reason many people call cycling a "metaphor for life".
the thing with cycling is, is that everything is clearly visable for the viewer at home. atleast for those who know what's playing, that is. watching and 'understanding' a cyclingrace, is looking at more dimensions. you can see riders bluffing or outsmarting each other, you can see alliances between teams grow, and with backgrounds in mind you can understand the 'why' of certain escapades during the stages. all in all, i wouldn't know any other sports that's more varied in all aspects than that cycling is.


my grandma just watches it for the breathtaking landscapes, though.
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Unread 18 Jun 2007, 23:07   #16
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

I'm glad that you have something you love as much as cycling in your life Koen
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Unread 19 Jun 2007, 20:18   #17
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Cycling is ace, I am setting demands for my thesis that if I do it at a company this summer, I want TV access!
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Unread 21 Jun 2007, 00:39   #18
jelle
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Re: Tour de France 2007: a preview

Quote:
Originally Posted by KoeN
the main reason i'm a full year looking forward to spending 3 weeks of my holidays in front of a TV, is that it's one big rolling feast in an otherwise uneventful month.
cycling is about action, joy, drama, heroism, pain, politics; it's for a reason many people call cycling a "metaphor for life".
the thing with cycling is, is that everything is clearly visable for the viewer at home. atleast for those who know what's playing, that is. watching and 'understanding' a cyclingrace, is looking at more dimensions. you can see riders bluffing or outsmarting each other, you can see alliances between teams grow, and with backgrounds in mind you can understand the 'why' of certain escapades during the stages. all in all, i wouldn't know any other sports that's more varied in all aspects than that cycling is.


my grandma just watches it for the breathtaking landscapes, though.
Couldn't agree more. It's just so right
Watched it in telly over the years since i was a boy. And i look forward to it every year. Who's your favorite for this year? I'll go with Frank Shleck <-- or how the hell you spell it
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