[lokken]

To take the hypothesising out of it a second:

In these kind of situations, someone usually blinks and Ultores will likely profit from that. Whether that point is too late for them to win should be irrelevant from their point of view. If they're good they should work on the assumption that it won't. If any of this block has self respect, the idea that the other alliances are going to hold together out of 'necessity' when they see an alliance like FAnG going into the distance doesn't really hold water with me. A complete lockout would be impressive in some respects, but I'm not really a detailed observer this round - is this likely?