Planetarion Forums - View Single Post - Has this been tried for weather forecasting?

Nodrog · 17 Feb 2006, 18:31

Weather forcasting is just a classification problem like any other, albeit one which is exceptionally difficult due to the large number of relevant features, and the extreme sensitivity to initial conditions. Hence most standard statistical classification techniques will be possible (Bayseian inference is just one of many), and I'd be very surprised if there werent already weather forecasting models which incorporated Bayesian methods.

Bear in mind how much more difficult weather forecasting is than spam detection though. The reason spam filters have a higher degree of success that weather forecasters isnt primarilly because they are using magical bayesian techniques - its because they are solving a far easier problem.

17 Feb 2006, 18:31	#4
Nodrog Registered User Join Date: Jun 2000 Posts: 8,476	Re: Has this been tried for weather forecasting? Weather forcasting is just a classification problem like any other, albeit one which is exceptionally difficult due to the large number of relevant features, and the extreme sensitivity to initial conditions. Hence most standard statistical classification techniques will be possible (Bayseian inference is just one of many), and I'd be very surprised if there werent already weather forecasting models which incorporated Bayesian methods. Bear in mind how much more difficult weather forecasting is than spam detection though. The reason spam filters have a higher degree of success that weather forecasters isnt primarilly because they are using magical bayesian techniques - its because they are solving a far easier problem.