Quote:
Originally Posted by HaNzI
So while i make a prediction based on roids/value, you choose to add a little Jonnyflavor to your soup and claim that your monkey cant jump as high as mine?
There is nothing stopping Ascendancy from capping the same as Apprime.
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Right,
here's a graph showing Apprime versus THINLYVEILEDTHREAT from the position of near roid parity at tick 530, when the round settled into it's current political course.
Size growth shows general momentum. By "momentum" I mean general ability to cap roids on a regular basis, it can also be reflective of activity. The political situation at the time of your prediction was also pretty steady so we can't really say general politics changed to affect things. Particularly in a round as politically turgid as this one.
Both alliances have pretty steady rates of size growth, Apprime's being much greater than THINLYVEILEDTHREAT, because they have more momentum. The greater the gap in roids, the higher rate of value growth and as the round progresses, value becomes more influential with respect to score. Once again, score growth is greatly in favour of Apprime.
This is why Apprime were catching THINLYVEILEDTHREAT at an increasing rate. You can see this from the shape of the curves, which because both alliances don't kick many players or drop ****tons of value, are very smooth.
On that basis, you can look at sandmans in about 10 seconds and make an accurate prediction as to where both alliances are going to go. The entire basis of your analysis is wrong, which is why your conclusion is wrong.